Thursday, February 17, 2011

...And the naked gold statue goes to...


Not that the Academy cares, but today I cast my votes for the 2011 Oscars.
While I haven’t seen all the movies nominated, I do feel that I’ve made some clever predictions on who will sweep and who will slump.

Best Picture
Black Swan
The Fighter
Inception
The Kids Are All Right
The King’s Speech
127 Hours
The Social Network
Toy Story 3
True Grit
Winter’s Bone

-This category is tricky. It’s important to remember 3 things when voting in this category. 1) Remember who has won in this category at prior award shows this season. 2) You can’t pick simply based on one great performance by one actor. You are voting on the total package. 3) Don’t vote for it just because YOU liked it. Vote for it because it really made a great impact on cinema. I doubt “Inception” will see any praise during the rest of the night, but I do think the overall concept, look and feel of the movie was executed well and the Academy will recognize that.

Best Director
“Black Swan” Darren Aronofsky
“The Fighter” David O. Russell
“The King’s Speech” Tom Hooper
“The Social Network” David Fincher
“True Grit” Joel Coen and Ethan Coen

-“Black Swan” will probably take this category. The movie has too much tension, which is something that can only be created by great direction.

Best Actor
Javier Bardem in “Biutiful”
Jeff Bridges in “True Grit”
Jesse Eisenberg in “The Social Network”
Colin Firth in “The King’s Speech”
James Franco in “127 Hours”

-While it would be funny to see James Franco both host and win at the Oscars, I don’t think this is his night. This award has Colin Firth and Javier Bardem written all over it. I think this was a long time coming for Colin Firth. He has finally smartened up and started picking the sort of scripts that are going to make people remember him for something either than Mr. Darcy.

Best Actress
Annette Bening in “The Kids Are All Right”
Nicole Kidman in “Rabbit Hole
Jennifer Lawrence in “Winter’s Bone”
Natalie Portman in “Black Swan”
Michelle Williams in “Blue Valentine

-Is this even disputable?

Best Supporting Actress
Amy Adams in “The Fighter”
Helena Bonham Carter in “The King’s Speech”
Melissa Leo in “The Fighter”
Hailee Steinfeld in “True Grit”
Jacki Weaver in “Animal Kingdom

-I actually haven’t seen any of these movies, so for me this is a shot in the dark. Melissa Leo got some early award season loving for her Supporting Role in “The Figther”, so I’m putting my money on seeing a repeat win.

Best Supporting Actor
Christian Bale in “The Fighter”
John Hawkes in “Winter’s Bone”
Jeremy Renner in “The Town”
Mark Ruffalo in “The Kids Are All Right”
Geoffrey Rush in “The King’s Speech”

-I would love to see this go to Mark Ruffalo, because he has that adorably hopeless look going on but I gotta take my feelings out of the equation. This will probably go to Geoffrey Rush, simply because he hasn’t seen much pre-Oscar wins, so I think the academy will buck up and send him home with a win. If there is one thing the Academy loves, it’s old guys.

Best Animated Feature Film
“How to Train Your Dragon” Chris Sanders and Dean DeBlois
The IllusionistSylvain Chomet
“Toy Story 3” Lee Unkrich

-This is so hard, I almost don’t want to pick. “Toy Story 3” was great but rarely do prequels and sequels see any Oscar love. That’s why “How to Train Your Dragon” may have a foot up and a possible win their corner.

Best Original Screenplay
“Another Year”
“The Fighter”
“Inception”
“The Kids Are All Right”

-Yet again, the pickings get tricky. With the exception of “Another Year,” all of these movies have been favored highly amongst voters. And despite how badly I want to see Christopher Nolan win big at the Oscars, I think “The King’s Speech” will once again reign over the rest.

Best Adapted Screenplay
“127 Hours”
“The Social Network”
“Toy Story 3”
True Grit
“Winter’s Bone”

-I think this may be where we will see a surprise. The Coen brothers are ready for another win and I think this is when they’ll get it.

Now that I've rambled on about who I think will rock the Oscars, I want to hear your feedback. Shoot me your ideas or list of predicted winners in the comment box.

Also, don't forget to watch the Oscars on February 27th on ABC.

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